Fortunate & Success

I partially agree with the assertion that most important discoveries or creation are random and maybe you find the best solution to another problem that is always not resolved in the world while seeking the answer to one question".After all , as the saying goes that experiences cover a multitude of treasures in life, every success is supposed to be based on a large amount of accumulation and wisdom from the forerunners or before at the expense of the tremendous devotion of time and energy. The proverb that 99 percent industriness and 1 percent fortunate make the full contributions to the final success demonstrates that the creations or important discoveries actually are not accidental, it is the accumaltion of personal payment reachs the point of the change of the nature.To begin with, looking backing the stream of the history, there is no denying that the most important discoveries or creations are made by the persons that have sufficient background knowledge in their research domain as experts and strong desire to change the world in pursuit of exploring the unknown world.After numberless attempts to make experiments on the relevant field , the emergement of the inspiration absolutely depends on the prior exploration and critical thinking rather than fortunate . Besides , we can not emphasize on the importance of the hard work too much .A accomplised software engineer must be equipped with enough fundamental knowledge such as basic knowledge ,software design and specification , database ,net working and so on . Such important are these beyond the successful software engineer ' requirements that the practical experience is significantly important to the development in the software engineer's career.They are allowed to throw themselves into the real project and communicate with customers based on their accumulated theory and knolwdge during 10 years or longer . However , they are unable to ensure that they will be succeed in the project and make achievements in that they always conform to the routine and the conventional approach from the beginning to the end. Assuming that they have no project experience and essential theoretical knowldege , they will destined to fail in the project let alone the creation and important reform for the software field.Therefore, i cling to the belief that your hard work can not determine your future success or creation ,but your indolence destinied your failure.Finally, We are not supposed to sharpely emphasize on the relationship betwwwn fortunate and success, and concede that the creative ideas can be only from geniu. Equally, genius is equivalent to the addition of the hard work and only 1 percent chance.
To sum up, the possiblity that while seeking the answer to one question that we come across the answer to another doesn't indicate that the fortunate truely occupies the large portion of the success or creations. Any qualitative transformation of outstanding achievements comes from quantitative accumulation.

The Study of History

"The chief benefit of the study of history is to break down the illusion that people in one period of time are significantly different from people who lived at any other time in history."

Just as Aldous Huxley's saying goes, the charm of history and its enigmatic lesson consist in the fact that , from age to age ,nothing changes and yet everything is completely different.
I concede that in some way the study of history actually has revealed the facts and the objective discipline in reality.History is a complex topic ,and is very difficult to be accurately defined .It seems to be consist of the objective facts in the past time and recorded by the way of the symbols, characters to describe what events happened and which figures make what achievements or inventions or display the humans' minds or intelligent policy to discovery and resolve the humans' tough problems embracing a variety of things.
However, it is very clear that the real aim to studying history is not that we consider the history as a long wind story or an entertainment like watching animations for the children,but we should absorb the ancestry 's lessons and conclude the ones that results in the failure or success of the forerunners by means of the objective analysis and critical thinking depending on the background information and evidence from other references.After sufficient and in-deep consideration , maybe your minds may be enlightened and your inspiration will be motivated.History is a mirror that makes us more clearly recognize ourselves and human's nature, the discipline of operations among people and reflects whether our behavior,thinking is adapted to the surroundings and social group or not, and how to cope with the problems that looks that there is no way to resolve . From history , you can gain the specific pattern of tackling entangled and intricated things and foresee the future events' running situation and what problems may be encountered ,even how to deal with it regardless of enormous unknown parameters and changes ,preventing the inestimable loss due to your misjudgement and subjective inclination.So the study of history makes you more sagacious and rational , thinking in a deep and comprehensive way on the facts . We can believe in all from the history. After all, because of special factors like the time , political interference and first-class manipulating falsehood, the history 's narrative is not virtually adhering to the facts affected by personal emotions. The study of history can foster your capacity of critical thinking and informs us that human nature has never changed.

Through the earnest study of history we learn that basic human nature-our desires and motives , as well as our fears and foibles- has remained constant over recorded time.History tells us, for example , that it is a mistake to attempt to legislate morality,because humans by nature resist having their moral choices forced upon them.History also teaches us that our major social ills are here to stay , because they spring from human nature.
Society 's attitudes toward artistic expression, literature,and scientific and intellectual inquiry are also in a continual state of evolution. And perhaps the most significant sort of cultural evolution invovles spiritual beliefs, which have always spun themselves out, albeit uneasily,through clashes between established traditions and more enlightened viewpoints. A heightened awareness of all these aspects of cultural evolution help us formulate informed,reflective, and enlightened values and ideals for ourselves; and our society clearly benefits as a result.
It undervalues other ,equally important benefits of studying history.Learning about the courage and tenacity of history's great explorers,leaders,and other achievers inspires us to similar accomplishments, or at least to face down fears as we travel through life.Learning about the mistakes of the past helps us avoiding repeating them.For instance,the world is slowly coming to learn by studying history that political states whose authority stems from suppression of individual freedoms invariably fall of their own oppressive weight.And learning about one's cultural heritage,or roots, fosters a healthy sense of self and cultivates an interest in preserving art, literature,and other cultural artifacts-all of which serve to enrich society.
To sum up, history lesson can help us understand and be more tolerant of one another, as well as develop compassionate responses to the problems and failings of others.Yet,history has other lessons to offer us as well.It helps us formulate informed values and ideas for ourselves,inspires us to great achievements,points out mistakes to avoid, and helps us appreciate our cultural heritage.

Should Nature's Way open a store in Plainesville?

In this memo , the vice president of Nature's Way(NW), a chain of stores selling health food and other health-related products, recommends that the company should build the next new store in Plainsville.To support the recommendation , NW cites the following facts about Plainesville:

• sales of exercise shoes and clothing are all-time highs;
• the local heath club is more popular than ever
• the city's schoolchildren are required to participate in a fitness program.

Close scrutiny of each of these facts,however, reveals that none of them lend credible support to the recommendation.

First,strong sales of exercise apparel do not necessarily indicate that Plainesville residents would be interested in NW's products, or that exercising is popular with these residents.Perhaps exercise apparel happens to be fashionable at the moment, or inexpensive compared to the other types of clothing. For that matter,perhaps the stronger-than-usual sales are due to increasing sales to tourists.In short, without ruling out other possible reasons for the strong sales,the vice president can not convince me on the basis of them that Plainesville residents are exercising regularly,let alone that they would be interested in buying the sorts of food and other products that NW sells.

Secondly, even if exercise is more popular among P residents than ever before,the vice president assumes further that people who exercise regularly are also interested in buying health food and health-related products.It is entirely possible that as a result of the regular exercise they believe that they are sufficiently fit and healthy and do not need a healthy product(As a reaction to the healthful habits imposed upon them).

Finally , even assuming that P residents are strongly interested in eating health foods and health-related products , the recommmendation rests on the additional assumptions :

• that this interest will continue in the forseeable future
• that P residents will prefer NW over other merchants that sell similar products.

In sum , the recommendation relies on certain doubtful assumptions that render it unconvincing as it stands. To bolster the recommendation the vice president must provide clear evidence-perhaps by way of a local survey or study-that P residents who buy and wear exercise apprarel, and especially the health club's memebers, do in fact exercise regularly, and that these exercisers are likely to bug health foods and health-related products at a NW store. To better assess the recommendation , i would need to know why P's health club is popular, and whyP does not contain more health clubs.I would also need to know what competition NW might face in P